# Baseball Stat Party Fun Time

A fun project!

At the end of the regular baseball season, you can see how many wins each team got out of the total number of games they played, and then rank the teams by their performance (who had the most wins, the second most wins, etc.).

What I want to do is see how this “real” data correlates with how many wins each team would get if they scored their average number of runs per game in every single game they played. For example, if the Mariners score an average of 4.74 runs per game, how many of their games would they have won by scoring 4.74 runs in each of those games?

The process:

• Record each team’s average runs per game (I’ll call this “RPG”) (from here)
• Sort teams from highest to lowest RPG

Now, if a team A has a higher RPG than team B, that would mean that A would win every game they play against B. So the next step was to make a grid like this and fill in the number of times each pair of teams played each other.

Boston has a higher RPG than the Rockies (5.42 and 5.22, respectively). So that means Boston would score 5.42 runs and the Mariners would score 5.22 runs in every game they played against each other. So of the 7 games played where these two teams faced each other, that would mean that Boston would win all of them.

I used this logic for all pairings (numbers of games per pair was obtained from here), then summed across the rows to get the “predicted” number of wins based on RPG alone.

How do they compare for the 2016 season?

Boston (highest RPG) would win every game they played; The Phillies (lowest RPG) and the Athletics (bad luck) would lose every game they played. Bummer.

Correlation of RPG-predicted games won and actual games won: 0.640

Correlation of team rankings based on RPG-predicted games won and actual games won: 0.683

Interesting!

# Walking 2016

WELCOME TO 2017!

I’m in the worst mood ever right now, but that won’t stop me from reviewing my walking mileage from last year. I murdered my goal distance (which was 2,000 miles) and set a new personal record for miles walked in a year. Let’s do it: my walking stats for January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2016.

Total number of walks: 292
Total mileage: 3,722.31
Total number of steps: 8,048,970
Total calories burned: 248,164
Total walking time (minutes): 54,059.54 [that’s about 37.52 days]
Average speed (mph) per walk: 4.059

3,722.31 miles is approximately the (great circle) distance between Anchorage, AK to Jacksonville, FL, or between Washington, D.C. and Madrid, Spain.

So I guess I walked across the Atlantic Ocean last year!

Here are my total distance graphs by week day and by month.

June was a good month.

Let’s do better in 2017!

# Claudia’s 366 Days of Music: Year 7 – A Review

Hello, foolios! So year 7 of this project is now complete. It was a pretty damn good year for music, so without further poopin’, let’s get down to the review.

Total songs: 366
Total time: 24 hours and 29 minutes
Total size: 2.54 GB
Mean song length: 4:02.25

The Five Stars
Listed in order of acquisition!
Lone Digger by Caravan Palace
Hula Hoop [Mark Ianni Bootleg] by Omi
Tightrope by WALK THE MOON
Hide and Seek (A Capella Cover) by Dan Wright
Gone by JR JR
Jealousy by Robert DeLong
Kids by OneRepublic
Tilted by Christine and the Queens

The five most beautiful/touching songs of the year:
Hide and Seek (A Capella Cover) by Dan Wright
Silhouette by Owl City (this is such a heart-wrenching song, holy hell)
Romeo & Juliet : Act IV, Scene LII, Death of Juliet performed by The London Symphony Orchestra
The Revenant Main Theme by Ryuichi Sakamoto

The Overall Top Five
Tightrope by WALK THE MOON
For the second year in a row, WALK THE MOON takes top spot here. The fast tempo of this song is great, and I love the fact that it switches from 4/4 time to 3/4 time for the chorus. Not a lot of “popular” songs have a time change like that, let alone such a prominent one.

Gone by JR JR
This song has the best energy. I love the drums and the whistling. It makes me want to dance.

Tilted by Christine and the Queens
I might be a little biased with this one, as I just recently downloaded it and am still in the “zomg must listen to this 50 times in a row” phase, but there’s not a single thing I dislike about this song. It’s got such a unique sound and is simultaneously upbeat and kind of haunting. I’ve had it stuck in my head ever since I downloaded it.

Hide and Seek (A Capella Cover) by Dan Wright
Better than the original, in my opinion (sorry, Imogen!). Can I have a favorite chord of the year? If I can, it’s definitely the chord at 2:49. I love it.

Hula Hoop [Mark Ianni Bootleg] by Omi
As anyone can probably tell by looking at the songs I tend to post on here (or just by looking through my yearly music lists), I have a soft spot for remixes and mashups of songs that I enjoy. This is an example of that. The original Hula Hoop is okay (I think it’s got 3 stars from me?), but in keeping with the apparent theme of this year’s top five, this remix has a lot more energy and oomph to it. Kind of techno-ey.

Now, pie charts!

Pop dominated in terms of the number of songs downloaded, but things were a little more even in terms of playcount.

Onward to year eight!

# High Resolution 2K16

So 2016 was an eventful year. BUT WAS IT EVENTFUL ENOUGH??    ? ? ??    ?                   ?

Let’s find out.

2016 resolutions:

• ACCOMPLISHED: Get the thesis done and defended. This went a lot smoother than the 2011 version did.
• ACCOMPLISHED: Blogs: do them daily. Nailed it.
• ACCOMPLISHED: Musics: do them daily. Nailed it.
• FAILED: Win NaNoWriMo 2016. Ha. I’m garbage.
• SORT OF FAILED: Complete and format all my blog archives, in honor of this being my 10th year of blogging. Well, I managed to get all 10 years copied down into Word documents, but the formatting still hasn’t happened. But if Eigenblogger goes up in smoke for some reason, I’ve got backups of everything now.
• ACCOMPLISHED: Walk 2,000 miles. I actually did way more than this. I’ll talk about that on the 1st.
• ACCOMPLISHED: Win another TA award. I actually can’t remember if I won a regular TA award this year (I don’t think I did), but I did win the award for being one of the best TAs in the whole Faculty of Science, so that totally counts, right?
• ACCOMPLISHED: Draw more. This is kind of subjective since I didn’t really specify what “more” was, but I do believe that I’ve done more drawing this year than I did in 2015.
• FAILED: Improve my sign language. Maybe…be able to sign 200 phrases by the end of the year? Hahaha. Nope. But I do remember the few signs I taught myself at the beginning of the year.
• FAILED: Keep writing. Work on Prime, mainly. And maybe a short story or two. And maybe Arborhood. NOPE. My writing’s so crappy that I don’t feel like there’s much of a point anymore.
• ACCOMPLISHED: Get married! YAY!

2017 resolutions:

• The blogs.
• The musics.
• Walk either 4,000 miles (if I’m teaching all year) or 3,000 miles (if I’m not).
• See if I can muscle my way into a more permanent lecturer position at U of C. This is something that’s mostly out of control, but hey, I can try.
• Win NaNoWriMo 2017. For serious this time. It’s been too long.
• Write more in general. Vague resolution is vague, but I guess I could narrow it down to either editing Prime or Arborhood.
• The blog archives. Get ‘em done.
• Along the same line as the previous resolution: figure out some sort of way to get my archives printed and bound. I’d love to have a hard copy of each year, sort of like an Encyclopedia of Eigenblogger thing.
• Be a better wife for Nate. He’s the best husband I could ever ask for and I’m still getting used to this “wife” thing, so I definitely think there’s a lot of room for improvement as far as being as good to him as he is to me.
• STOP BEING GARBAGE.

That’s all that I can think of for now.

# [insert resolution joke here]

It’s the annual New Year’s Resolutions post! As if anyone cares. But let’s do the thing anyway.

2015 resolutions (plus Bonus Late Add-On Resolutions 2.0):

ACCOMPLISHED: Blog daily, 365 musics. These are standard now, so whatev.

FAILED: Win NaNoWriMo 2015. I didn’t even start ‘cause I’m garbage.

ACCOMPLISHED: Walk 1,500. Bitch, I did over 2,500. Killed it.

ACCOMPLISHED: Write. I didn’t do NaNo, but I did edit a substantial portion of Prime. Which is something I haven’t done in like 4,000 years, so yeah.

FAILED: Post these damn blogs on a more frequent and consistent basis. HAHAHA NOPE.

SORT OF ACCOMPLISHED: Kick ass in my grad program. I’m getting noticed for my TA work quite a bit, and that totally counts in my opinion. And I didn’t bomb STAT 721, which is a really low standard, but hey. I’m garbage.

FAILED: Actually try to learn (at least some) guitar. I learned two chords. That counts for nothing.

FAILED: Learn LaTeX. Nope.

ACCOMPLISHED: Walk to and from campus when the weather permits. I walked to and from campus when the weather didn’t permit. I walked to and from campus while wrestling the weather to the ground.

ACCOMPLISHED: Finish my blog stats Excel sheet and format the rest of my blog archives. I’m not formatting the current blog year yet ‘cause it’s not done, but everything else is formatted, so HA.

2016 resolutions:

• Get the thesis done and defended.
• Blogs: do them daily.
• Musics: do them daily.
• Win NaNoWriMo 2016.
• Complete and format all my blog archives, in honor of this being my 10th year of blogging.
• Walk 2,000 miles.
• Win another TA award.
• Draw more.
• Improve my sign language. Maybe…be able to sign 200 phrases by the end of the year?
• Keep writing. Work on Prime, mainly. And maybe a short story or two. And maybe Arborhood.
• Get married!

Sure, that’ll work.